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Kinondoni MC vs Gwambina Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Ilanfya C.
61' Event
Mvuyekure E.
71' Event
Ally Salim

AI Match Summary

Kinondoni MC in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kinondoni MC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kinondoni MC
15%
Draws
85%
Gwambina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gwambina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gwambina lately — more wins on the board than Kinondoni MC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gwambina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 19%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kinondoni MC Gwambina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.69 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Gwambina
3:0
Oct 30, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Kinondoni MC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilanfya C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mvuyekure E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gwambina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 20 / 100
Gwambina 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kinondoni MC Gwambina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwambina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwambina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gwambina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kinondoni MC scored in 41% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kinondoni MC

(Home)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Gwambina

(Away)
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1
Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0
Gwambina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)