Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Mvuyekure E.
(Penalty)
17'
17'
Ilanfya C.
69'
69'
Richard D.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Kinondoni MC and Mwadui finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kinondoni MC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mwadui
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mwadui come out ahead of Kinondoni MC on wins alone.
- Kinondoni MC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Kinondoni MC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 68%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kinondoni MC | Mwadui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 25 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.58 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Mwadui
2:1
Sep 21, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Kinondoni MC
1:2
Jul 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Mwadui
3:2
Dec 31, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
May 6, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Mwadui
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kinondoni MC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilanfya C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Mwadui Compare
Top Goalscorer Richard D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kinondoni MC 59 / 100
Mwadui 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kinondoni MC Mwadui
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kinondoni MC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mwadui conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Mwadui has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Kinondoni MC found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Kinondoni MC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kinondoni MC
(Home) 30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
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24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 TRA United
20 May
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1 Pamba
10 May
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3 Fountain Gate
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Mwadui
(Away) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
27 Apr
Gwambina
1 : 2 Mwadui
21 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
5 : 1 Mwadui
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
