Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium

Kinondoni MC

0 - 1

Pamba

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Lukinda E.

46'

Sub

Shemvuni J. In: Gambo I.

Out: Shemvuni J.

56'

Tegisi M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Kinondoni MC and Pamba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Kinondoni MC

17%

Draws

70%

Pamba

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Kinondoni MC haven't matched Pamba's recent run of results.
Pamba are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 14%

Pamba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kinondoni MC	Pamba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	9
Draws	3	8
Losses	25	13
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Pamba

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Nov 29, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Dec 16, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Pamba

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Tegisi M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 15 / 100

Pamba 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kinondoni MC Pamba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pamba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kinondoni MC's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS Pamba

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9