Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kinondoni MC vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Karaboue C.
Assist: Chobwedo S.
45'
Anyimike B.
62'
Sub
Nganzi A. In: Akandwanaho J.
Out: Nganzi A.

AI Match Summary

TRA United in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kinondoni MC
22%
Draws
60%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: TRA United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TRA United lately — more wins on the board than Kinondoni MC.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on TRA United taking it.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 12%
TRA United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kinondoni MC TRA United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs TRA United
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Kinondoni MC
3:0
May 14, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Kinondoni MC
0:1
Nov 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs TRA United
0:2
Mar 10, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs TRA United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaboue C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 19 / 100
TRA United 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kinondoni MC TRA United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kinondoni MC scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

TRA United let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

TRA United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS TRA United
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539