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Kirchberg vs Sturm Graz

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Unterweger M.
60' Event
Demaku V.
63' Event
Fuseini M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Kirchberg and Sturm Graz finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kirchberg
20%
Draws
70%
Sturm Graz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sturm Graz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sturm Graz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kirchberg Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirchberg Sturm Graz
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 0 15
Draws 2 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.4 1.9
Goals Conceded 3.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Kirchberg vs Sturm Graz
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirchberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Unterweger M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Demaku V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fuseini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirchberg 10 / 100
Sturm Graz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirchberg Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Kirchberg found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (10 games).

Defensive concern: Sturm Graz conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kirchberg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sturm Graz
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirchberg

(Home)
01 Mar
UFC Fehring
4 : 3
Kirchberg
23 Feb
Pachern
2 : 2
Kirchberg
09 Feb
SV Union Gnas
1 : 0
Kirchberg
24 Jun
Kirchberg
1 : 5
Sturm Graz
03 Mar
SV Union Gnas
6 : 1
Kirchberg
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Sturm Graz

(Away)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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