Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kirikkale FK vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Uzun O.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Kirikkale FK
15%
Draws
78%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malatya lately — more wins on the board than Kirikkale FK.
  • Model gives Malatya a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Malatya have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 10%
Malatya Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirikkale FK Malatya
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Malatya vs Kirikkale FK
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Malatya
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Kirikkale FK
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirikkale FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzun O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirikkale FK 10 / 100
Malatya 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirikkale FK Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirikkale FK scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Malatya let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kirikkale FK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kirikkale FK VS Malatya
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirikkale FK

(Home)
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Kirikkale FK
1 : 3
Karakopru
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Malatya

(Away)
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)