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Kirikkale FK vs Nigde

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Destan O.
Assist: Sismanoglu O.

AI Match Summary

Kirikkale FK in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirikkale FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kirikkale FK
15%
Draws
59%
Nigde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigde average 1.47 goals a game right now, well clear of Kirikkale FK's 1.1.
  • Nigde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kirikkale FK here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 10%
Nigde Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirikkale FK Nigde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Nigde
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Nigde vs Kirikkale FK
1:2
Mar 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Kirikkale FK vs Nigde
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Nigde vs Kirikkale FK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirikkale FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Destan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nigde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirikkale FK 10 / 100
Nigde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirikkale FK Nigde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirikkale FK's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nigde has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Kirikkale FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kirikkale FK VS Nigde
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirikkale FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Kirikkale FK
1 : 3
Karakopru
18 Apr
Kirikkale FK
3 : 2
Karakopru
Page 1 of 6

Nigde

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)