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Kirklarelispor vs Ankara Demirspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirklarelispor play Ankara Demirspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kirklarelispor averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Ankara Demirspor averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Kirklarelispor won 1, Ankara Demirspor won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 24, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Kirklarelispor and 1.88 for Ankara Demirspor. This points to a Ankara Demirspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kirklarelispor
33%
Draws
37%
Ankara Demirspor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ankara Demirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Kirklarelispor picked up more points recently compared to Ankara Demirspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kirklarelispor Clean Sheet 10%
Ankara Demirspor Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirklarelispor Ankara Demirspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Ankara Demirspor
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Kirklarelispor
4:0
Mar 17, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Kirklarelispor vs Ankara Demirspor
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Ankara Demirspor vs Kirklarelispor
0:0
May 16, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Ankara Demirspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirklarelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpinar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dugali R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ankara Demirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirklarelispor 29 / 100
Ankara Demirspor 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirklarelispor Ankara Demirspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ankara Demirspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kirklarelispor attacking → ← attacking Ankara Demirspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirklarelispor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ankara Demirspor let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Kirklarelispor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ankara Demirspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52