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Kirkop vs Kercem Ajax

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Kercem Ajax advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kirkop
15%
Draws
42%
Kercem Ajax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirkop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kercem Ajax come out ahead of Kirkop on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Kirkop taking it.
  • Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kirkop Clean Sheet 10%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirkop Kercem Ajax
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.44 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 2.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2019 FA Trophy
Kirkop vs Kercem Ajax
2:3
Sep 8, 2018 FA Trophy
Kirkop vs Kercem Ajax
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirkop 47 / 100
Kercem Ajax 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirkop Kercem Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirkop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kercem Ajax has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kirkop scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Difficult form: Kercem Ajax registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kirkop VS Kercem Ajax
1.6 Goals Scored 2.75
2.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirkop

(Home)
12 Dec
Kirkop
1 : 2
Lija
07 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 3
Kercem Ajax
26 Oct
Kirkop
1 : 2
Vittoriosa
08 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 1
Kercem Ajax
20 Sept
Ghajnsielem
3 : 2
Kirkop
Page 1 of 4

Kercem Ajax

(Away)
18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0
Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0
Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2
Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0
Kercem Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb -
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St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
TBD -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
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TBD -
St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
TBD -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
TBD -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
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Final
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