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Kirov vs Amkar

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FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 VyatSShOR
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirov play Amkar in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kirov averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Amkar averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Kirov won 1, Amkar won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Kirov and 1.00 for Amkar. This points to a Amkar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kirov
34%
Draws
33%
Amkar
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Amkar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Kirov picked up more points recently compared to Amkar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Kirov Clean Sheet 23%
Amkar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirov Amkar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Amkar vs Kirov
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Amkar
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Kirov vs Amkar
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Amkar vs Kirov
0:0
Mar 27, 2017 Club Friendly
Amkar vs Kirov
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinkevich M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Amkar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyukalov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallyamov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirov 34 / 100
Amkar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirov Amkar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amkar or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kirov attacking → ← attacking Amkar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirov scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Amkar let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kirov went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Amkar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 52
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518