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Kirov vs Kaluga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold VyatSShOR, Kirov
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kamaev N.
29'
Malykh A.
39'
Kamaev N.

AI Match Summary

Kirov in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kirov
20%
Draws
29%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kirov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaluga haven't matched Kirov's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kirov a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kirov have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kirov Clean Sheet 68%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirov Kaluga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Kirov
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Kaluga
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Kaluga
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Kirov
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamaev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirov 86 / 100
Kaluga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirov Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirov's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kaluga has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Kirov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kirov VS Kaluga
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirov

(Home)
24 Oct
Kirov
6 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
18 Oct
Dynamo Vladivostok
2 : 3
Kirov
14 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Kirov
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
Page 1 of 6

Kaluga

(Away)
24 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 1
Kaluga
18 Oct
D. Bryansk
1 : 4
Kaluga
14 Oct
Yenisey
2 : 0
Kaluga
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kirov 15 9 3 3 23:13 30
2 Rodina Moscow 2 15 9 3 3 27:16 30
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 15 5 7 3 22:16 22
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 15 5 5 5 19:21 20
5 D. Bryansk 15 5 4 6 15:22 19
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
7 Mashuk 15 2 11 2 14:14 17
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 15 1 11 3 14:16 14
9 Saratov 15 2 7 6 13:22 13
10 Kaluga 15 1 7 7 11:19 10
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)