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Kirov vs Tyumen

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 VyatSShOR, Kirov
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Stepanov A.
23' Event
Lauk M.
31' Event
Burykin K.

AI Match Summary

Kirov in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kirov
15%
Draws
44%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tyumen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kirov have won more games recently than Tyumen.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Tyumen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kirov Clean Sheet 13%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirov Tyumen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Tyumen
4:0
Apr 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Kirov
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Tyumen
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Tyumen vs Kirov
4:1
Oct 10, 2013 FNL 2 - Group 4
Tyumen vs Kirov
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burykin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirov 19 / 100
Tyumen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirov Tyumen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tyumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tyumen conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Kirov scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Kirov has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kirov VS Tyumen
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirov

(Home)
09 Sept
Kirov
1 : 0
Kamaz
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
30 Aug
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 1
Kirov
25 Aug
Kirov
5 : 4
Amkar
22 Aug
Kirov
1 : 2
Dynamo Vladivostok
Page 1 of 6

Tyumen

(Away)
13 Sept
Amkar
2 : 3
Tyumen
05 Sept
Tyumen
5 : 2
Dynamo Moscow 2
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
23 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg 2
1 : 1
Tyumen
16 Aug
Tyumen
4 : 3
Torpedo Miass
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Bryansk 18 11 3 4 23:19 36
2 Kirov 18 8 9 1 31:16 33
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 18 7 5 6 23:22 26
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 6 6 6 21:20 24
5 Amkar 18 6 6 6 30:26 24
6 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 5 7 6 29:36 22
7 Zenit St Petersburg 2 18 6 4 8 33:37 22
8 Tyumen 18 5 5 8 25:25 20
9 Dynamo Stavropol 18 5 3 10 20:26 18
10 Kuban 18 4 6 8 17:25 18
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)