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Kirov vs Tyumen

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 VyatSShOR
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirov play Tyumen in the FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kirov averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Tyumen averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Kirov won 2, Tyumen won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Kirov and 0.94 for Tyumen. This points to a Kirov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kirov
31%
Draws
27%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Kirov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kirov picked up more points recently compared to Tyumen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Kirov Clean Sheet 24%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirov Tyumen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Tyumen
4:0
Apr 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Kirov
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Tyumen
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Tyumen vs Kirov
4:1
Oct 10, 2013 FNL 2 - Group 4
Tyumen vs Kirov
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirov Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burykin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirov 43 / 100
Tyumen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirov Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kirov or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kirov attacking → ← attacking Tyumen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirov scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kirov went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tyumen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518