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Kiruna vs Lucksta IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Kiruna Logo

Kiruna

1 - 2
FT
Lucksta IF Logo

Lucksta IF

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bawa Samba W.
45' Event
Tewelde S.
55' Event
Nuur H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kiruna
30%
Draws
31%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kiruna haven't matched Lucksta IF's recent run of results.
  • Kiruna are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 15%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna Lucksta IF
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.23 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Kiruna
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Lucksta IF
2:0
Jun 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Kiruna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bawa Samba W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Tewelde S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nuur H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 66 / 100
Lucksta IF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna Lucksta IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lucksta IF conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Kiruna scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Kiruna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lucksta IF
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 6

Lucksta IF

(Away)
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
05 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 1
Lucksta IF
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)