Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kitara vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Uganda Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Wahab G.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Kalema J.
45' Event
Kato N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kitara
20%
Draws
28%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bunyaruguru haven't matched Kitara's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Kitara taking it.
  • Kitara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitara, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Kitara Clean Sheet 68%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Uganda Cup
Kitara vs Bunyaruguru
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitara Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalema J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kato N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bunyaruguru Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 86 / 100
Bunyaruguru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitara scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solid form: Kitara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bunyaruguru lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Bunyaruguru
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
17 Sept
Express FC
1 : 1
Kitara
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
29 Aug
Villa
1 : 1
Kitara
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
Page 1 of 6

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitara 6
Bunyaruguru 0
Express FC 4
Red Devo 0
NEC FC 2
Lugazi 0
Vipers 4
Iganga United 0
Uganda Revenue 3
Tapoh 0
Kampala City 5
Onduparaka 0
Happy Boy 1
Six Oclock 0
Villa 1
Maroons 0
Quarter-finals
Kitara 3
Express FC 0
NEC FC 0
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 3
Kampala City 2
Happy Boy 0
Villa 1
Semi-finals
Kitara 1
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 0
Villa 3
Final
Kitara 2
Villa 1