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Kitchee vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tan Chun-Lok
21' Event
Okubo Y.
22'
Beattie C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kitchee and Eastern AA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitchee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kitchee
28%
Draws
50%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Eastern AA haven't matched Kitchee's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 16%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
4:4
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
0:1
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitchee Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Ortiz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Revilla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 23 / 100
Eastern AA 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitchee scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Eastern AA let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Kitchee remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS Eastern AA
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
29 Jul
Prime Bangkok
0 : 4
Kitchee
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
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Eastern AA

(Away)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee18162047:1550
2Lee Man Warriors18106247:1936
3North District1887336:2731
4Tai Po1894536:2631
5Eastern AA1874729:2825
6Kowloon City1863922:3321
7Eastern District1854915:1519
8Southern District18531018:2818
9Hong Kong Rangers18521120:3817
10Hong Kong FC18111612:534
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)