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Kitchee vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tan Chun-Lok
21' Event
Okubo Y.
22'
Beattie C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kitchee and Eastern AA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitchee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kitchee
30%
Draws
19%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA haven't matched Kitchee's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kitchee a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 68%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Eastern AA
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.34 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
4:4
Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Eastern AA
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
0:1
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Kitchee
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitchee Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Ortiz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Revilla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 95 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitchee scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Kitchee remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Eastern AA conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS Eastern AA
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
22 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 7

Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 16 2 0 47:15 50
2 Lee Man Warriors 18 10 6 2 47:19 36
3 North District 18 8 7 3 36:27 31
4 Tai Po 18 9 4 5 36:26 31
5 Eastern AA 18 7 4 7 29:28 25
6 Kowloon City 18 6 3 9 22:33 21
7 Eastern District 18 5 4 9 15:15 19
8 Southern District 18 5 3 10 18:28 18
9 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 2 11 20:38 17
10 Hong Kong FC 18 1 1 16 12:53 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)