Sport Picks
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
Hong Kong
League Cup Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong 
Match Events
28'
28'
Gigauri M.
28'
28'
Yung H. T.
37'
37'
Mikael
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kitchee lately — more wins on the board than Lee Man Warriors.
- Lee Man Warriors are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Kitchee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 14%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kitchee | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:4
Apr 7, 2026 League Cup
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
2:3
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kitchee Compare
Top Goalscorer Illarramendi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baffoe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kitchee 27 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kitchee Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kitchee scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Lee Man Warriors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Solid form: Kitchee remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kitchee VS Lee Man Warriors
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kitchee
(Home) 29 Jul
Prime Bangkok
0 : 4 Kitchee
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4 Eastern AA
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0 Kitchee
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2 Kitchee
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4 Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
Kitchee
2 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
07 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
21 Mar
Kitchee
2 : 1 Eastern AA
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Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3 Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1 Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
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09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
07 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Kowloon City -
TBD -
Southern District 1
Eastern District 4
North District -
TBD -
TBD -
Lee Man Warriors -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
Tai Po 3
Eastern AA 1
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 3
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Kowloon City 2
Eastern District 1
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Tai Po 3
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Kowloon City 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
Tai Po 0
Final
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
