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Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Haddow J.
6' Event
Camargo E.
10'
Tan Chun-Lok

AI Match Summary

Lee Man Warriors in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lee Man Warriors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kitchee
11%
Draws
80%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lee Man Warriors at 1.88 per game, Kitchee at 1.75.
  • Win probability leans Lee Man Warriors's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 14%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:4
Apr 7, 2026 League Cup
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Lee Man Warriors
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
2:3
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Kitchee
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitchee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baffoe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 11 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitchee's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Kitchee has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS Lee Man Warriors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
Kitchee
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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