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Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Mong Kok Stadium, Hongkong
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kitchee host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Champions League 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Phnom Penh Crown have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Kitchee have conceded 1.32 and scored 2.32. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Kitchee to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kitchee
30%
Draws
43%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Kitchee have won more games recently than Phnom Penh Crown.
  • Win probability leans Kitchee's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 20%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.32 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 58 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitchee scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Phnom Penh Crown has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Kitchee went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS Phnom Penh Crown
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
24 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Kitchee
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5
Kitchee
15 Oct
Kuching City FC
1 : 1
Kitchee
10 Oct
Kitchee
4 : 0
Hong Kong FC
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
Page 1 of 6

Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)
24 Oct
Tiffy Army
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
19 Oct
Phnom Penh Crown
1 : 1
Life FC
15 Oct
Gangwon
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 Al Kuwait 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Nasaf Qarshi 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Al Khalidiyah 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Arkadag 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Al Muharraq 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 Gol Gohar 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Taawon 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Al Rayyan 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Al Faisaly Amman 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Al Nahda 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Al Hussein 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 East Bengal 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Al Seeb 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Melbourne Victory 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Viettel 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Seoul 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Lion City Sailors 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Pathum United 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Tai Po 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Shanghai Shenhua 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Svay Rieng 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Tampines 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Kitchee 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Kuching City FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Gangwon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)