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Kitzbuhel vs FC Lustenau

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kitzbuhel host FC Lustenau in the Regionalliga West. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Lustenau have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while Kitzbuhel have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Kitzbuhel have won 1 to FC Lustenau's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.56, favoring Kitzbuhel. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kitzbuhel
6%
Draws
4%
FC Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of FC Lustenau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kitzbuhel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 15%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitzbuhel FC Lustenau
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs FC Lustenau
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Kitzbuhel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitzbuhel 84 / 100
FC Lustenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitzbuhel FC Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lustenau let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Kitzbuhel scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kitzbuhel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kitzbuhel VS FC Lustenau
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitzbuhel

(Home)
10 Jul
Ebbs
3 : 5
Kitzbuhel
13 Jun
Kitzbuhel
4 : 1
Seekirchen
07 Jun
Altach U21
2 : 5
Kitzbuhel
04 Jun
Kitzbuhel
0 : 0
Johann
29 May
Kufstein
3 : 1
Kitzbuhel
Page 1 of 6

FC Lustenau

(Away)
13 Jun
FC Lustenau
3 : 1
Johann
06 Jun
Kufstein
4 : 1
FC Lustenau
04 Jun
FC Lustenau
2 : 2
Hohenems
30 May
Kuchl
3 : 1
FC Lustenau
23 May
FC Lustenau
2 : 2
Schwaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kufstein00000:00
2Dornbirn00000:00
3Reichenau00000:00
4FC Lustenau00000:00
5Schwaz00000:00
6Hohenems00000:00
7Altach U2100000:00
8Tirol (Am)00000:00
9Kitzbuhel00000:00
10FC Wolfurt00000:00
11Fugen00000:00
12Lauterach00000:00
13Rothis00000:00
14Lochau00000:00
15SC Imst00000:00
16SK St. Johann00000:00
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)