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Kiyinda Boys vs Onduparaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Kiyinda Boys and Onduparaka finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyinda Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kiyinda Boys
30%
Draws
39%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onduparaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kiyinda Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kiyinda Boys are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Onduparaka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.54 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Onduparaka
3:1
Apr 5, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Onduparaka
3:0
Nov 13, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Kiyinda Boys
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Onduparaka
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 36 / 100
Onduparaka 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyinda Boys scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Onduparaka let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kiyinda Boys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Onduparaka
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Young Elephant Academy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Amus College FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pakwach Young Stars 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Kiyinda Boys 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Catda 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 SC Volcanoes 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Calvary 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Iganga United 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)