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Kiyovu vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kiyovu and Marines finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kiyovu
30%
Draws
34%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Marines haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kiyovu a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marines have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 68%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Marines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Marines
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Kiyovu
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Marines
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Kiyovu
4:2
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Kiyovu
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 46 / 100
Marines 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kiyovu stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kiyovu's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Marines
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
05 May
Amagaju
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)