Sport Picks

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Kiyovu vs Muhanga

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kiyovu
39%
Draws
31%
Muhanga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiyovu have won more games recently than Muhanga.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 68%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Muhanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Muhanga
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Muhanga vs Kiyovu
0:1
May 24, 2021 Premier League
Muhanga vs Kiyovu
0:2
Dec 14, 2020 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Muhanga
0:0
May 16, 2020 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Muhanga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 41 / 100
Muhanga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Muhanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyovu has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kiyovu found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Muhanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Muhanga
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
05 May
Amagaju
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 6

Muhanga

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
06 May
Muhanga
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)