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Kiyovu vs Mukura Victory Sports - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Super Cup Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
53'
90' Event
Mugisha D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kiyovu
20%
Draws
29%
Mukura Victory Sports
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kiyovu lately — more wins on the board than Mukura Victory Sports.
  • Kiyovu are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Kiyovu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kiyovu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 20%
Mukura Victory Sports Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Mukura Victory Sports
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Super Cup
Kiyovu vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Mukura Victory Sports
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Kiyovu
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Kiyovu
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Mukura Victory Sports
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiyovu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugisha D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mukura Victory Sports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 42 / 100
Mukura Victory Sports 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Mukura Victory Sports

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyovu scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mukura Victory Sports let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Kiyovu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Mukura Victory Sports has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Mukura Victory Sports
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
10 Oct
Marines
0 : 0
Kiyovu
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Mukura Victory Sports

(Away)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kiyovu 1
Mukura Victory Sports 0
Rayon Sport 0
Police 1
Final
Kiyovu 1
Police 0