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Kjelsas vs Rana FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 2 Grefsen Stadion, Oslo
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kjelsas host Rana FK in the Division 2 - Group 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kjelsas have averaged 2.48 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Rana FK's 1.86 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Kjelsas slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.00 - 1.69) back Kjelsas to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kjelsas
15%
Draws
39%
Rana FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kjelsas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rana FK haven't matched Kjelsas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kjelsas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kjelsas here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Kjelsas Clean Sheet 13%
Rana FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kjelsas Rana FK
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.42 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Division 2 - Group 2
Rana FK vs Kjelsas
2:3
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Rana FK vs Kjelsas
0:3
Jun 8, 2025 Division 2 - Group 2
Kjelsas vs Rana FK
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kjelsas 75 / 100
Rana FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kjelsas Rana FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kjelsas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kjelsas found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Rana FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kjelsas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kjelsas VS Rana FK
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kjelsas

(Home)
03 Oct
Ull/Kisa
1 : 2
Kjelsas
26 Sept
Kjelsas
2 : 2
Follo
20 Sept
Grorud
3 : 2
Kjelsas
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Kjelsas
5 : 0
Stjordals Blink
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Rana FK

(Away)
04 Oct
Rana FK
2 : 1
Eidsvold TF
01 Oct
Rana FK
2 : 6
Bodo/Glimt
26 Sept
Junkeren
0 : 2
Rana FK
19 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Honefoss
13 Sept
Rana FK
0 : 1
Lorenskog
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eidsvold TF 22 16 3 3 53:19 51
2 Kjelsas 22 15 2 5 51:32 47
3 Levanger 22 15 0 7 53:27 45
4 Honefoss 22 14 3 5 56:33 45
5 Grorud 22 13 4 5 40:20 43
6 Stjordals Blink 22 10 3 9 38:38 33
7 Lorenskog 22 10 3 9 33:37 33
8 Tromsdalen (TUIL) 22 10 2 10 39:38 32
9 Junkeren 22 9 4 9 31:36 31
10 Rana FK 22 9 3 10 38:39 30
11 Skeid 22 6 2 14 32:50 20
12 Follo 22 3 5 14 25:46 14
13 Ull/Kisa 22 3 1 18 26:72 10
14 Trygg/Lade 22 2 3 17 25:53 9
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