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KKP Bydgoszcz W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bucholc A.
27' Event
Ejzel K.
49' Event
Okoniewska K.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Tczew W in this Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Tczew W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
KKP Bydgoszcz W
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KKP Bydgoszcz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew W have won more games recently than KKP Bydgoszcz W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on KKP Bydgoszcz W taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pogon Tczew W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
KKP Bydgoszcz W Clean Sheet 13%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKP Bydgoszcz W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
KKP Bydgoszcz W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:3
Aug 13, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs KKP Bydgoszcz W
1:3
Jul 24, 2022 Club Friendly Women
Pogon Tczew W vs KKP Bydgoszcz W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKP Bydgoszcz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucholc A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oleksiak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejzel K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoniewska K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKP Bydgoszcz W 84 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKP Bydgoszcz W Pogon Tczew W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Tczew W conceded in 85% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pogon Tczew W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

KKP Bydgoszcz W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

KKP Bydgoszcz W VS Pogon Tczew W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KKP Bydgoszcz W

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
4 : 3
KKP Bydgoszcz W
18 Oct
KKP Bydgoszcz W
0 : 1
Czworka Radom W
16 Oct
MKS Myszkow W
3 : 0
KKP Bydgoszcz W
03 Feb
Zorza Pegow W
2 : 1
KKP Bydgoszcz W
08 Nov
Iskra Krzemien W
0 : 12
KKP Bydgoszcz W
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Pogon Tczew W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GKS Katowice W22181348:1755
2Leczna W22164279:3052
3UKS SMS Lodz W22171462:2452
4UJ Krakow W22124641:3140
5Pogon Szczecin W22121942:3037
6Slask Wroclaw W221021046:3832
7Czarni Sosnowiec W2286836:2930
8AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22661025:3224
9Pogon Tczew W22531429:5618
10Medyk Konin W22431525:4915
11KKP Bydgoszcz W22341519:5413
12Czworka Radom W22311819:8110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)