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Stadium Background

KKS Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Machala M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between KKS Kalisz and Unia Swarzedz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KKS Kalisz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KKS Kalisz
35%
Draws
35%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors KKS Kalisz here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 19%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz
1:0
Apr 9, 2016 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz
2:0
Sep 12, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs KKS Kalisz
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Machala M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 10 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Unia Swarzedz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: KKS Kalisz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Unia Swarzedz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)