Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kluczevia Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Pietrzyk K.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Balcewicz F.
75' Event
Yefimenko D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Kluczevia Stargard and Notec Czarnkow finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kluczevia Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kluczevia Stargard
11%
Draws
80%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Notec Czarnkow's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Kluczevia Stargard have produced (1.25).
  • Notec Czarnkow are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Balcewicz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yefimenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 10 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kluczevia Stargard scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Notec Czarnkow has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kluczevia Stargard has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Notec Czarnkow
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
25 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Polonia Slubice
18 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 0
Warta Gorzow
11 Jul
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Legnica II
08 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
30 May
Luzino
3 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
22 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
CHKS Polonia Chodziez
15 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
6 : 0
Sparta Brodnica
11 Jul
Polkowice
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
30 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 3
Notec Czarnkow
23 May
Elana Torun
0 : 3
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)