Sport Picks
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Rychlik P.
73'
73'
Bartkowiak B.
90'
90'
Skrobosinski P.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol at 2.07 per game, Kluczevia Stargard at 1.77.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kluczevia Stargard | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:4
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard
0:2
Sep 18, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kluczevia Stargard Compare
Top Goalscorer Rychlik P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skrobosinski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kluczevia Stargard 30 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kluczevia Stargard Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kluczevia Stargard scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Kluczevia Stargard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kluczevia Stargard VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2.38 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Kluczevia Stargard
(Home) 27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2 Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
19 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
08 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Away) 26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
01 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
