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Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cafolla P.
42' Event
Culbert D.
45' Event
Cafolla P.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2017/2018 game between Knockbreda and Lurgan Celtic finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Knockbreda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Knockbreda
15%
Draws
42%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knockbreda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Knockbreda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lurgan Celtic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Knockbreda Clean Sheet 16%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knockbreda Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.48 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2018 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
7:0
Feb 24, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Knockbreda
1:1
Dec 30, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Knockbreda
1:1
Sep 16, 2017 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
4:2
Mar 25, 2017 NIFL Championship
Knockbreda vs Lurgan Celtic
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knockbreda Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafolla P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Culbert D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knockbreda 10 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knockbreda Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Knockbreda's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Lurgan Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Knockbreda VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Knockbreda

(Home)
27 Jun
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Bangor FC
03 Feb
Loughgall
2 : 0
Knockbreda
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
12 Aug
Newry City
3 : 0
Knockbreda
19 Jul
Knockbreda
0 : 5
Ards
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Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)