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Knokke vs Tienen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park, Knokke
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ouro Sama F.
36' Event
Braem S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Knokke in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Knokke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Knokke
15%
Draws
12%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Knokke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Knokke have won more games recently than Tienen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Knokke have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Knokke Clean Sheet 68%
Tienen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Knokke Tienen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Knokke vs Tienen
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Knokke
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Knokke
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Knokke vs Tienen
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 National Division 1
Knokke vs Tienen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Knokke Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouro Sama F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tienen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Knokke 41 / 100
Tienen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Knokke Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Knokke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Knokke scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tienen let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Tienen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Knokke VS Tienen
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Knokke

(Home)
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
30 Aug
Knokke
3 : 0
Heist
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
02 Aug
Petegem
3 : 0
Knokke
25 Jul
Kortrijk
4 : 1
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

Tienen

(Away)
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
23 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
KV Mechelen 2
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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