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Kober vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Kober and Al-Ahly Merowe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kober.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kober
39%
Draws
30%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kober come out ahead of Al-Ahly Merowe on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kober Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kober Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Premier League
Kober vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:0
Mar 17, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
2:2
Nov 3, 2022 Premier League
Kober vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:2
Jul 12, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kober 32 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kober Al-Ahly Merowe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ahly Merowe conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kober scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Kober remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kober VS Al-Ahly Merowe
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kober

(Home)
14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Kober
10 Feb
Kober
1 : 0
Al Taqadom
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0
Al-Mergheni
04 Feb
Kober
0 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
01 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
5 : 1
Kober
Page 1 of 6

Al-Ahly Merowe

(Away)
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2
Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75
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Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)