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Kocaelispor vs Goztepe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor host Goztepe in the Super Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kocaelispor have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Goztepe's 1.48 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Kocaelispor slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.16, favoring Goztepe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Kocaelispor
20%
Draws
11%
Goztepe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Goztepe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kocaelispor a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 20%
Goztepe Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Goztepe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Goztepe
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig
Goztepe vs Kocaelispor
0:0
Apr 3, 2024 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Goztepe
3:2
Nov 4, 2023 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Kocaelispor
0:1
May 15, 2004 1. Lig
Goztepe vs Kocaelispor
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 85 / 100
Goztepe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Goztepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goztepe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Kocaelispor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Goztepe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Goztepe
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 6

Goztepe

(Away)
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 2
Goztepe
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1
Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
9 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
12 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
13 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)