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Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Show
46'
Turuc D.
51'
Keita H.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Kocaelispor and Konyaspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Konyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kocaelispor
20%
Draws
38%
Konyaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Konyaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kocaelispor a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Konyaspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 19%
Konyaspor Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Konyaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Super Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
2:3
Mar 28, 2010 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor
0:2
Nov 1, 2009 1. Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0
May 3, 2009 Super Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dursun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Konyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramer B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 42 / 100
Konyaspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Konyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Konyaspor has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Konyaspor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kocaelispor found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Konyaspor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
Kasimpasa
1 : 1
Kocaelispor
26 Apr
Genclerbirligi
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1
Goztepe
Page 1 of 6

Konyaspor

(Away)
29 Jul
Konyaspor
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
25 Jul
Konyaspor
0 : 3
Hull City
18 Jul
Konyaspor
1 : 3
Zalaegerszegi
15 Jul
Zorya
1 : 2
Konyaspor
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)