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Kocaelispor vs Rizespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kocaelispor host Rizespor in the Super Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Kocaelispor at 0.72 goals for, 1.17 against; Rizespor at 1.48 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Kocaelispor have won 1 to Rizespor's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Rizespor. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kocaelispor
15%
Draws
46%
Rizespor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rizespor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 19%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kocaelispor Rizespor
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.72 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Kocaelispor
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor
1:1
Jul 18, 2021 Club Friendly
Rizespor vs Kocaelispor
2:3
May 9, 2010 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Rizespor
1:3
Dec 20, 2009 1. Lig
Rizespor vs Kocaelispor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kocaelispor 36 / 100
Rizespor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kocaelispor Rizespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rizespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kocaelispor's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kocaelispor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kocaelispor VS Rizespor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kocaelispor

(Home)
18 Oct
Kocaelispor
1 : 2
Goztepe
11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1
Kocaelispor
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6

Rizespor

(Away)
16 Oct
Corum FK
2 : 1
Rizespor
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Basaksehir 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
12 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
13 Goztepe 8 2 3 3 17:16 9
14 Gaziantep 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
15 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)