Sport Picks
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit 
Match Events
26'
26'
Aye F.
28'
28'
Haidara M.
46'
46'
Sub
Yildiz U. In: Susoho M.
Out: Yildiz U.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig game between Kocaelispor and Samsunspor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kocaelispor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kocaelispor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Samsunspor come out ahead of Kocaelispor on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Kocaelispor taking it.
- Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kocaelispor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
0:1
Jan 21, 2022 1. Lig
Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0
Aug 28, 2021 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kocaelispor Compare
Top Goalscorer Aye F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Samsunspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kocaelispor 95 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kocaelispor Samsunspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samsunspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Samsunspor conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Kocaelispor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Kocaelispor scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kocaelispor VS Samsunspor
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kocaelispor
(Home) 11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1 Kocaelispor
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2 Kocaelispor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Gaziantep
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0 Amedspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
Kocaelispor
1 : 1 Goztepe
Page 1 of 3
Samsunspor
(Away) 10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3 Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5 Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0 Samsunspor
22 Aug
Rizespor
0 : 2 Samsunspor
08 Aug
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Samsunspor
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2 Samsunspor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Corum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
