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Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Kochi
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Match Events

12'
Sub
Fujieda K. In: Taguchi Y.
Out: Fujieda K.
32'
Sato J.
40'
Higuchi D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kochi United
20%
Draws
70%
Matsumoto Yamaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kochi United haven't matched Matsumoto Yamaga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 15%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kochi United Matsumoto Yamaga
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 J3 League
Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kochi United 10 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kochi United Matsumoto Yamaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matsumoto Yamaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matsumoto Yamaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kochi United found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Kochi United stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kochi United VS Matsumoto Yamaga
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kochi United

(Home)
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
Page 1 of 6

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Away)
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)