Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kofu vs Iwaki

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Owie W. In: Kato T.
Out: Owie W.
33' Event
Kato T.
Assist: Tanaka K.
38'
Takei S.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Kofu and Iwaki finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kofu
40%
Draws
29%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Kofu on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kofu Clean Sheet 20%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Iwaki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Iwaki
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwaki
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 J2 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 32 / 100
Iwaki 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kofu found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Iwaki conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kofu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Iwaki
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
06 Jun
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1
Kofu
30 May
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0
Kofu
23 May
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Kofu
16 May
Kofu
2 : 2
Gifu
09 May
Iwaki
0 : 1
Kofu
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3
Iwaki
07 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 0
Iwaki
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2
Iwaki
23 May
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 1
Iwaki
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)