Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kofu vs Iwaki

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
Kofu Logo

Kofu

0 - 1
FT
Iwaki Logo

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Owie W. In: Kato T.
Out: Owie W.
33' Event
Kato T.
Assist: Tanaka K.
38'
Takei S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Kofu and Iwaki finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kofu
15%
Draws
57%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Kofu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iwaki a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kofu Clean Sheet 16%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Iwaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Iwaki
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwaki
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 J2 League
Iwaki vs Kofu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 15 / 100
Iwaki 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwaki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iwaki conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Iwaki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kofu scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Iwaki
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Kofu
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0
Yokohama FC
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0
Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)