Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kofu vs Iwata

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu
Kofu Logo

Kofu

1 - 2
FT
Iwata Logo

Iwata

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Hayashida K.
35' Event
Araki S.
Assist: Kumakura K.
46'
Sub
Matsubara K. In: Kawasaki I.
Out: Matsubara K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Kofu and Iwata finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Kofu
15%
Draws
64%
Iwata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Iwata's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what Kofu have produced (0.9).
  • Iwata are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Iwata have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Kofu Clean Sheet 16%
Iwata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kofu Iwata
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwata
0:1
May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Iwata
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwata vs Kofu
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 J2 League
Kofu vs Iwata
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Kofu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Top Goalscorer Araki S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Iwata Compare

Top Goalscorer Van den Bergh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Peixoto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 15 / 100
Iwata 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kofu Iwata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Kofu found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Kofu remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kofu VS Iwata
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kofu

(Home)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
05 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Kofu
02 Sept
FC Osaka
3 : 0
Kofu
Page 1 of 6

Iwata

(Away)
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3
Iwata
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)