Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League JIT Recycle Ink Stadium

Omiya Ardija

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kofu play Omiya Ardija in the J2/J3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kofu averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Omiya Ardija averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Kofu won 4, Omiya Ardija won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Kofu and 1.31 for Omiya Ardija. This points to a Kofu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Kofu

15%

Draws

42%

Omiya Ardija

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kofu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Kofu picked up more points recently compared to Omiya Ardija.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Kofu Clean Sheet 18%

Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kofu	Omiya Ardija
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	16
Draws	4	1
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.13	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Omiya Ardija vs Kofu

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Mar 28, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kofu vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Jul 12, 2025 J2 League

Kofu vs Omiya Ardija

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Feb 22, 2025 J2 League

Omiya Ardija vs Kofu

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 29, 2023 J2 League

Omiya Ardija vs Kofu

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kofu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ota R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Omiya Ardija Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamamoto O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kofu 42 / 100

Omiya Ardija 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kofu Omiya Ardija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kofu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kofu attacking → ← attacking Omiya Ardija

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kofu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Omiya Ardija let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kofu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Omiya Ardija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 49

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15