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Koge vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge Logo

Koge

2 - 0
FT
Aarhus Fremad Logo

Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sorensen V.
45'
Thomsen T.
50' Event
Thomsen T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Koge and Aarhus Fremad finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Koge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Koge
35%
Draws
53%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Aarhus Fremad are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Koge Clean Sheet 12%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
3:1
May 9, 2026 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Aarhus Fremad vs Koge
2:2
Jul 25, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Aarhus Fremad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 14 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Koge found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Aarhus Fremad conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Koge stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Aarhus Fremad
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
15 Aug
Koge
0 : 2
Hvidovre IF
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
04 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 0
Koge
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
25 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
0 : 1
Aarhus Fremad
21 Aug
Fredericia
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
15 Aug
Hillerod
1 : 1
Aarhus Fremad
08 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Koge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)