Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge vs Hobro

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koge host Hobro in the 1st Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hobro have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Koge have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Koge slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Hobro. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Koge
35%
Draws
41%
Hobro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hobro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hobro come out ahead of Koge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Koge's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Koge Clean Sheet 15%
Hobro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge Hobro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
1:1
Jul 18, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hobro
2:0
May 22, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Koge
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge 41 / 100
Hobro 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge Hobro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hobro has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Koge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Koge found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Koge VS Hobro
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge

(Home)
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
29 Aug
Aalborg
0 : 0
Koge
23 Aug
Koge
2 : 2
Kolding IF
15 Aug
Koge
0 : 2
Hvidovre IF
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Hobro

(Away)
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vejle 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
2 Hvidovre IF 8 5 3 0 15:8 18
3 Fredericia 8 3 4 1 10:4 13
4 Aarhus Fremad 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
5 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
6 Aalborg 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
7 Vendsyssel FF 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
8 Hillerod 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
9 Kolding IF 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
10 AB Copenhagen 8 1 3 4 8:10 6
11 Esbjerg 8 1 2 5 10:16 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)