Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koge W vs Aarhus W

Denmark Denmark

Danish Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Nadim N.
16' Event
Jereko M.
46'
Sub
Madsen R. In: Garcia O.
Out: Madsen R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Koge W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Koge W
6%
Draws
4%
Aarhus W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Koge W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Koge W come out ahead of Aarhus W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Koge W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Koge W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Koge W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Koge W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Koge W Clean Sheet 68%
Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W Aarhus W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Danish Cup Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 A-Liga Women
Koge W vs Aarhus W
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 A-Liga Women
Aarhus W vs Koge W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jereko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadim N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aarhus W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 95 / 100
Aarhus W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W Aarhus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koge W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aarhus W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Koge W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koge W VS Aarhus W
2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge W

(Home)
01 Aug
Koge W
4 : 0
ASA Aarhus W
28 Jul
FC Copenhagen W
0 : 3
Koge W
17 Jul
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Koge W
13 Jun
Koge W
3 : 1
KoldingQ W
31 May
Aarhus W
0 : 3
Koge W
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus W

(Away)
02 Aug
Aarhus W
0 : 4
KoldingQ W
25 Jul
ASA Aarhus W
3 : 1
Aarhus W
13 Jun
Brondby W
3 : 0
Aarhus W
31 May
Aarhus W
0 : 3
Koge W
24 May
Aarhus W
0 : 0
Nordsjaelland W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Skjold W 0
Osterbro IF W 1
Nordsjaelland W 4
Odense W 2
Randers Q W 0
KoldingQ W 7
Dalum/Naesby W 0
Midtjylland W 7
FC Copenhagen W 0
Koge W 6
Esbjerg W 0
Aarhus W 6
Vejgaard W 2
ASA Aarhus W 7
BSF W 0
Brondby W 7
Quarter-finals
Osterbro IF W 0
Nordsjaelland W 6
KoldingQ W 3
Midtjylland W 1
Koge W 2
Aarhus W 0
ASA Aarhus W 0
Brondby W 3
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland W 9
KoldingQ W 2
Koge W 5
Brondby W 2
Final
Nordsjaelland W 1
Koge W 4