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Koge W vs Riga FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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UEFA Champions League Women Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Koge W Logo

Koge W

4 - 1
FT
Riga FC W Logo

Riga FC W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Brima K. Z.
Assist: Oi M.
22'
Rahimova M.
24' Event
Schultz M.
Assist: Boye S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Koge W
15%
Draws
51%
Riga FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Riga FC W have won more games recently than Koge W.
  • Riga FC W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Riga FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Koge W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Koge W Clean Sheet 10%
Riga FC W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koge W Riga FC W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 28
Draws 5 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.28 7.7
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Koge W vs Riga FC W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koge W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schultz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nadim N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Riga FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brima K. Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koge W 10 / 100
Riga FC W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koge W Riga FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Koge W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Koge W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Riga FC W conceded in 27% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Koge W VS Riga FC W
2.38 Goals Scored 10.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Koge W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nordsjaelland W
2 : 2
Koge W
01 Oct
Koge W
5 : 1
Servette W
26 Sept
Koge W
4 : 1
KoldingQ W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Koge W
4 : 0
Midtjylland W
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Riga FC W
11 : 0
Rigas Futbola Skola W
30 Sept
FK Metta W
0 : 4
Riga FC W
26 Sept
Iecava/Olaine W
1 : 4
Riga FC W
23 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Metta W
12 Sept
Riga FC W
3 : 0
FK Auda Riga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Austria Vienna W 3
Hajduk Split W 2
ZNK Mura W 1
Farul Constanta W 3
Brann W 5
Mitrovica W 0
Ferencvaros W 2
PAOK W 3
Din. Minsk W 0
Servette W 3
Breidablik W 1
Aktobe W 2
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 2
PSV W 3
Racing Luxembourg W 0
HJK W 2
FC Kharkiv W 1
Fenerbahce W 2
Leuven W 4
TSC Backa Topola W 0
Vllaznia W 1
Myjava W 2
Apollon Limassol W 3
Czarni Sosnowiec W 4
Gintra Universitetas W 1
Hearts W 2
Koge W 4
Riga FC W 1
Ajax W 2
Brondby W 0
Slavia Prague W 1
Rangers W 2
Juventus W 2
Torreense W 1
Hammarby W 4
Apolonia Fier W 0
Valerenga W 0
Malmo FF W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 8
Omonia W 0
Sporting W 5
SeaSters Odesa W 0
St. Polten W 4
Young Boys W 3
Final
Austria Vienna W 5
Farul Constanta W 0
Brann W 3
PAOK W 2
Servette W 4
Aktobe W 0
PSV W 3
HJK W 1
Fenerbahce W 1
Leuven W 2
Myjava W 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W 4
Hearts W 1
Koge W 2
Ajax W 2
Rangers W 1
Juventus W 3
Hammarby W 1
Malmo FF W 0
Eintracht Frankfurt W 2
Sporting W 1
St. Polten W 2