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Kogi United vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2022/2023 game between Kogi United and Abubakar Bukola Saraki finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kogi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kogi United
39%
Draws
30%
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Abubakar Bukola Saraki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 20%
Abubakar Bukola Saraki Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kogi United Abubakar Bukola Saraki
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 NNL
Kogi United vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 NNL
Abubakar Bukola Saraki vs Kogi United
2:0
Oct 10, 2018 NNL
Abubakar Bukola Saraki vs Kogi United
1:0
Jun 2, 2018 NNL
Kogi United vs Abubakar Bukola Saraki
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kogi United 32 / 100
Abubakar Bukola Saraki 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kogi United Abubakar Bukola Saraki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Abubakar Bukola Saraki conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Abubakar Bukola Saraki has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kogi United found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Kogi United VS Abubakar Bukola Saraki
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kogi United

(Home)
01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1
Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0
Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0
Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1
Kogi United
Page 1 of 8

Abubakar Bukola Saraki

(Away)
10 Jun
Mailantarki Care
2 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
21 May
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
1 : 2
EFCC FC
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
1 : 0
Mighty Jets
30 Apr
Hypebuzz
2 : 0
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EFCC FC1061312:719
2Mighty Jets106047:718
3Hypebuzz1042413:814
4Mailantarki Care104248:614
5Abubakar Bukola Saraki104067:1112
6Kogi United102355:139
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Katsina Utd1063114:621
2City FC Abuja105147:1016
3Jigawa Golden Stars1043311:815
4Nigeria Airforce FC102537:811
5FWC Champions102448:1010
6Green Beret101459:147
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Rocket1062217:1020
2Warri Wolves1053210:818
3Rovers FC104428:716
4Vandrezzer1033410:1012
5Henserd1031613:1510
6Go Round101364:126
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos1053216:918
2Ijebu1053215:1118
3Crown FC104339:815
4Gateway United103255:811
5Smart City104157:1310
6Joy Cometh102269:158
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kano Pillars861114:319
2Kebbi842212:914
3Malumfashi841312:813
4Sokoto United82248:118
5Zamfara United80262:172
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1DMD63213:111
2Yobe Stars63121:27
3Adamawa Utd62133:57
4Police Machine61232:45
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abeokuta852116:717
2Ekiti United851212:916
3Madiba842216:714
4Ikorodu United82068:146
5Ebedei81165:204
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Heartland FC1064010:422
2Giant Brillars1043310:815
3Cynosure1042414:814
4Abia Comets103436:513
5Edel FC103257:1311
6Ibom Youths101366:156
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)