Sport Picks
Kokand 1912 vs Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan
Super League 2024 O'zbekiston Stadioni, Yaypan 
Match Events
24'
24'
Urinboev Z.
Assist: Pirmukhamedov A.
36'
36'
Sattorov K.
63'
63'
Sub
Poyonov S. In: Merzlyakov A.
Out: Poyonov S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Kokand 1912 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kokand 1912 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Metallurg Bekabad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kokand 1912 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kokand 1912, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 12%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kokand 1912 | Metallurg Bekabad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 4, 2024 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Metallurg Bekabad
2:1
Aug 30, 2022 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Kokand 1912
0:0
Mar 31, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
Sep 19, 2021 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Kokand 1912
0:1
Apr 15, 2021 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kokand 1912 Compare
Top Goalscorer Beshimov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Metallurg Bekabad Compare
Top Goalscorer Urinboev Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kokand 1912 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kokand 1912 Metallurg Bekabad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kokand 1912 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Metallurg Bekabad has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Metallurg Bekabad lost 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Kokand 1912 VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kokand 1912
(Home) 22 Jul
Kokand 1912
1 : 4 OKMK
17 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
03 May
Kokand 1912
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0 Kokand 1912
24 Apr
Qizilqum
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Kokand 1912
1 : 4 OKMK
03 May
Kokand 1912
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
19 Apr
Kokand 1912
0 : 0 Andijan
08 Apr
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
18 Mar
Kokand 1912
2 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 4
Metallurg Bekabad
(Away) 23 Jul
Gazalkent
3 : 2 Metallurg Bekabad
08 Jun
Metallurg Bekabad
7 : 0 FarDU
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0 Metallurg Bekabad
31 May
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 1 Kattaqurgon
05 May
Jayxun
2 : 0 Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Gazalkent
3 : 2 Metallurg Bekabad
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0 Metallurg Bekabad
05 May
Jayxun
2 : 0 Metallurg Bekabad
25 Apr
Pakhtakor II
0 : 5 Metallurg Bekabad
05 Apr
Yaypan
1 : 2 Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Shortan Guzor1
Olympic0
Kokand 19122
Metallurg Bekabad1
Final
Olympic1
Metallurg Bekabad2