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Stadium Background

Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Qo'qon Stadium, Kokand
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kokand 1912 host Neftchi Fargona in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kokand 1912 at 0.97 goals for, 1.13 against; Neftchi Fargona at 2.13 for, 0.87 against. Head-to-head, Kokand 1912 have won 0 to Neftchi Fargona's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Neftchi Fargona. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kokand 1912
20%
Draws
57%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftchi Fargona lately — more wins on the board than Kokand 1912.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 17%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kokand 1912 Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 22
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
4:0
Aug 7, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona
1:2
Mar 14, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
0:0
Aug 2, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona
3:3
Mar 2, 2022 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kokand 1912 36 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kokand 1912 Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftchi Fargona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kokand 1912 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Kokand 1912 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kokand 1912 VS Neftchi Fargona
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kokand 1912

(Home)
09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 7

Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)