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Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Stal Krasnik Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Zych J.

AI Match Summary

Kolbuszowa Dolna in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
35%
Draws
40%
Stal Krasnik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Krasnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kolbuszowa Dolna lately — more wins on the board than Stal Krasnik.
  • Win probability leans Stal Krasnik's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 15%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolbuszowa Dolna Stal Krasnik
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Stal Krasnik
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Zych J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Stal Krasnik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolbuszowa Dolna 19 / 100
Stal Krasnik 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolbuszowa Dolna Stal Krasnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kolbuszowa Dolna found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Stal Krasnik conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Kolbuszowa Dolna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kolbuszowa Dolna VS Stal Krasnik
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Home)
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 7

Stal Krasnik

(Away)
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3
Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0
Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1
Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avia Swidnik 34 23 8 3 84:35 77
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 22 8 4 66:30 74
3 Chelmianka Chelm 34 21 9 4 65:31 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 66:59 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
6 Czarni Polaniec 34 16 5 13 59:49 53
7 Biala Podlaska 34 14 10 10 60:48 52
8 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 34 14 9 11 61:45 51
9 Wislanie Skawina 34 15 6 13 52:51 51
10 Wisla II 34 15 4 15 67:58 49
11 Wisloka Debica 34 12 12 10 37:35 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 59:52 43
13 Naprzod Jedrzejow 34 11 5 18 45:55 38
14 Kolbuszowa Dolna 34 11 4 19 36:54 37
15 Stal Krasnik 34 9 7 18 42:52 34
16 Cracovia II 34 9 6 19 44:71 33
17 Swidniczanka Swidnik 34 5 4 25 35:80 19
18 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 34 4 1 29 29:110 13
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)