Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kolstad vs Mosjoen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Holte J.
42' Event
Zubovic A.
44' Event
Akway O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Kolstad and Mosjoen finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kolstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kolstad
15%
Draws
49%
Mosjoen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mosjoen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mosjoen come out ahead of Kolstad on wins alone.
  • Mosjoen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 20%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolstad Mosjoen
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 4
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 4.5 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Mosjoen
4:2
May 14, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Kolstad
6:1
Aug 26, 2017 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Mosjoen
2:2
May 13, 2017 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Kolstad
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Holte J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zubovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

Mosjoen Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cyfert B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolstad 10 / 100
Mosjoen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolstad Mosjoen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mosjoen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mosjoen has conceded goals in 100% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Mosjoen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kolstad's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mosjoen
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolstad

(Home)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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Mosjoen

(Away)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
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