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Kolstad vs Steinkjer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sakshaug S.
40' Event
Eide A.
45' Event
Sakshaug S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2023 game between Kolstad and Steinkjer finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Steinkjer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kolstad
15%
Draws
42%
Steinkjer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kolstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Steinkjer come out ahead of Kolstad on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Steinkjer taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Steinkjer have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kolstad Clean Sheet 10%
Steinkjer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kolstad Steinkjer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 4.5 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
3:5
Jun 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Kolstad
3:2
Sep 24, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
0:1
Jun 25, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Steinkjer vs Kolstad
2:1
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Kolstad vs Steinkjer
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kolstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Eide A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tahtaci A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Steinkjer Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakshaug S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Nordseth E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kolstad 10 / 100
Steinkjer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kolstad Steinkjer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Steinkjer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Steinkjer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Steinkjer registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kolstad scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kolstad VS Steinkjer
1 Goals Scored 2.38
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kolstad

(Home)
29 Oct
Nardo
8 : 0
Kolstad
22 Oct
Kolstad
4 : 2
Mosjoen
14 Oct
Byasen
17 : 0
Kolstad
07 Oct
Kolstad
0 : 3
Tiller
30 Sept
Strindheim
3 : 0
Kolstad
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Steinkjer

(Away)
22 Aug
Steinkjer
0 : 6
Ranheim
29 Oct
Steinkjer
0 : 1
Verdal
22 Oct
Bodo/Glimt 2
8 : 0
Steinkjer
14 Oct
Steinkjer
2 : 4
Rana FK
07 Oct
Tronder-Lyn
1 : 6
Steinkjer
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