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Kom Berkovitsa vs Etar II Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Kom Berkovitsa and Etar II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kom Berkovitsa
30%
Draws
23%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kom Berkovitsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 15%
Etar II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Berkovitsa Etar II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Etar II
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Etar II
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Berkovitsa 30 / 100
Etar II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Berkovitsa Etar II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Berkovitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kom Berkovitsa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Etar II let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kom Berkovitsa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kom Berkovitsa VS Etar II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kom Berkovitsa

(Home)
26 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
1 : 1
OFK Levski
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
Page 1 of 6

Etar II

(Away)
26 Sept
Etar II
1 : 3
Yantra Polski Trambesh
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)